#polymarket

someone at Polymarket is drafting a tweet about how their users accurately predicted the Brazilian election result within one point #polymarket

Also in this issue: Prediction markets continue to be a crypto-esque wild west, with a recent WSJ report exposing the Trump-linked Polymarket’s false advertising. Influencers paid by Polymarket are boasting about manipulating bets. #crypto #cryptocurrency #USpol #USpolitics #Polymarket #CitationNeededNewsletter

#France orders internet providers to block access to #Polymarket prediction site

In Jan 2025, as the LA #wildfires raged, people placed bets on #Polymarket, one of the leading #PredictionMarkets. They waged money on how many acres the fires would consume, which locations the flames would reach & when they would be contained. It was “pretty dystopian,” said Trudeau, a California-based climate scientist, who works at the non-profit Climate Central. “It’s not just easy to start a fire—now there’s potentially a financial incentive.” #ClimateChange #Profiteers #Ghouls #disaster

Punto Informatico: L’Italia blocca anche Kalshi, insieme a Polymarket ADM ha disposto anche il blocco di Kalshi in Italia: la piattaforma nell'elenco dei siti di gioco non autorizzati, proprio come Polymarket. The post L’Italia blocca anche Kalshi, insieme a Polymarket appeared first on Punto Informatico. Italy also blocks Kalshi, along with Polymarket. ADM has also blocked Kalshi in Italy: the platform is listed as an unlicensed gambling site, just like Polymarket. The post Italy Blocks Kalshi, Along with Polymarket appeared first on Punto Informatico. #Italy #Kalshi #Polymarket #first #PuntoInformatico

Agenzia Nova: Usa: scommesse sulle elezioni di meta' mandato sfiorano i 200 milioni di dollari 13 lug 06:54 - (Agenzia Nova) - Gli utenti delle piattaforme di scommesse online Kalshi e Polymarket hanno puntato oltre 197 milioni di dollari... (Was) Betting on the middle term elections is reaching $200 million. 13 Jun 06:54 - (Agenzia Nova) - Users of the online betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket have bet over $197 million… #AgenziaNova #Kalshi #Polymarket

FYI: då jag igår låg 4h i bagaget på en Volvo s40 för att försöka fixa låsproblemet avbokade jag imorse den tvättidd jag bokat till idag. För att vara hemma och städa istället. Det finns säkert någon spelbörs i något obskyrt no-tax-haven som låter er satsa era surt förvärvade pengar på sannolikheten att jag i praktiken kommer att städa idag. Det sprids ett rykte att sannolikheten i liknande situationer är <10%. Lycka till!! #Sverige #Odds #Polymarket #kashi #volvo #TaxHaven

NPR Topics: News | DOJ charges Google staffer over Polymarket trades netting $1.2 million by Bobby Allyn AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. A Google software engineer, Michele Spagnuolo—who operated under the username “AlphaRaccoon”—was arrested and charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud, money laundering and related offenses after using confidential internal Google search data to place bets on the prediction‑market platform Polymarket, netting roughly $1.2 million in profit; prosecutors allege he wagered that the rapper D4vd would become the most‑searched person in 2025, a bet made possible only because he accessed non‑public Google analytics, and Google confirmed the employee has been placed on leave and is cooperating with the federal investigation, which comes amid growing scrutiny of prediction‑market sites and similar insider‑trading cases involving other individuals and regulatory debates. Read more: https://www.npr.org/2026/05/27/nx-s1-5836659/google-polymarket-insider-trading-doj-charges #MicheleSpagnuolo #Google #Polymarket #DonaldTrump #CFTC #NicolsMaduro #DonaldTrumpJr

US Top News and Analysis | Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. Federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York have charged Google staff information‑security engineer Michele Spagnuolo with money‑laundering, commodities fraud and wire fraud after alleging he used confidential internal data to place insider bets on Polymarket, a prediction‑market platform. By exploiting a Google tool that gave him access to non‑public “Year in Search” data, Spagnuolo allegedly placed trades that correctly predicted which singer would be Google’s most‑searched person in 2025, netting about $1.2 million. He was arrested, released on a $2.25 million bond, and placed on leave by Google, which said it is cooperating with law enforcement. Polymarket, which cooperated with the U.S. Attorney’s Office and the CFTC, noted this is the second high‑profile insider‑trading case on its platform in just over a month, following an earlier arrest of a former U.S. Army Special Forces sergeant for similar misconduct. Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/27/google-employee-polymarket-insider-trading.html #Google #Polymarket #MicheleSpagnuolo #CFTC #SouthernDistrict #GannonKenVanDyke #NicolsMaduro

Feed: All Latest | Google Security Engineer Arrested in Million-Dollar Polymarket Trading Scheme by Kate Knibbs AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. A Google security engineer, 36‑year‑old Italian Michele Spagnuolo, was arrested in New York and charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud and money‑laundering for allegedly using confidential Google Search traffic data to place trades on the prediction‑market platform Polymarket from October to December 2025. By exploiting insider information, he is accused of earning more than $1 million, including a $1.2 million profit for correctly predicting the 2025 “most‑searched person” (the singer D4vd). The case, the second U.S. arrest linked to illicit prediction‑market activity, follows a recent investigation by the Southern District of New York and heightened scrutiny of Polymarket by lawmakers and regulators, who cite the platform’s transparent blockchain transactions as evidence that insider trading can be traced and prosecuted. Google has placed Spagnuolo on leave pending action. Read more: https://www.wired.com/story/google-employee-accused-of-polymarket-one-million/ #MicheleSpagnuolo #Google #Polymarket #CFTC #business_regulation

ABC News: Top Stories | Google employee charged with using inside information to make $1M on Polymarket AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. A federal criminal complaint unsealed in New York accuses former Google software engineer Michele Spagnuolo of fraudulently exploiting his access to internal search‑trend data to place insider bets on the prediction‑market platform Polymarket. By using a pseudonymous account (AlphaRaccoon), he correctly wagered that the singer D4vd would be Google’s most‑searched person in 2025—a bet the market had deemed almost impossible—and profited about $1.2 million after Google’s Year in Search results confirmed the prediction. Spagnuolo, 36, an Italian citizen, has been charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud and money laundering; he was arrested in New York, appeared briefly before a magistrate, and was released on a $2.25 million bond while the case proceeds. This marks the second high‑profile Polymarket fraud case brought by the Southern District of New York this year. Read more: https://abcnews.com/US/google-employee-charged-inside-information-make-1-million/story?id=133350018 #Google #MicheleSpagnuolo #Polymarket #AlphaRaccoon #USattorney

US Top News and Analysis | Oversight Chairman Comer launches congressional probe into insider trading on Kalshi, Polymarket AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman James Comer announced a congressional investigation into potential insider‑trading activity on prediction‑market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket. Citing trades that appeared to exploit inside information on elections, U.S. military actions, and other political events, Comer has requested documents from both companies on how they verify user identities, enforce geographic restrictions, and detect anomalous trading. The probe follows recent high‑profile cases—including a U.S. soldier allegedly profiting from a bet on Venezuelan politics and dozens of users placing suspicious wagers ahead of strikes in Iran—prompting bipartisan calls for legislation to bar members of Congress, government employees, and presidential administration officials from participating in such markets. Kalshi, regulated by the CFTC, says it does not allow bets on war or death, while Polymarket, a blockchain‑based platform licensed in Panama, operates under limited U.S. regulation. Both firms have said they are tightening internal rules after the suspicious trades were revealed. Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/22/kalshi-polymarket-comer-insider-trading-probe-congress.html #JamesComer #Kalshi #Polymarket #CFTC #HouseOversight #TarekMansour #ShayneCoplan #NicolasMaduro #ChrisPappas

BBC News | US soldier accused of betting on Maduro's removal pleads not guilty to fraud charges AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. A U.S. Army Special Forces master sergeant, 38‑year‑old Gannon Ken Van Dyke, was arraigned in New York federal court after being accused of using classified intelligence about a secret operation to remove Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to place bets on the cryptocurrency‑based prediction market Polymarket. Prosecutors say he profited by more than $400,000 by purchasing dozens of bets between late December and early January that predicted U.S. forces would move into Venezuela and that Maduro would be ousted, allegedly violating non‑disclosure agreements and committing unlawful use of confidential government information, theft of non‑public information, commodities and wire fraud, and illegal monetary transactions. Van Dyke pleaded not guilty, was released on a $250,000 bond with travel restrictions, and his case marks the first DOJ insider‑trading charge involving a prediction market. Read more: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd0p54j9r9vo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss #VanDyke #NicolsMaduro #Polymarket #CFTC #GannonKenVanDyke

@bit101@mstdn.social from all the futures described in SF, “Solar Lottery” seemed the most outlandish, and here we are! #kalshy #Polymarket #PKD

Und falls @ZDF@zdf.social, @NDR@ard.social & Co. wirklich mal die Top-Liga des #Matchfixing sehen wollen, müssen diese nur mal sich #PolyMarket aka. "legally not #Gambling" ansehen. Denn dagegen wirkt bekannter #Wettbetrug geradezu wie #Kleinmist. Insbesondere da das #Trump-Regime bzw. deren #Geheimnisträger dort aktiv mitmachen!

NBC News Top Stories | Trump embraced the gambling industry for decades. Now he's hedging his bet on prediction markets. by Dareh Gregorian AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. President Donald Trump publicly lamented the growing popularity of gambling and prediction‑market betting, claiming he was never a fan, yet a review of recent events shows his administration, family, and businesses are deeply intertwined with the industry: Trump’s media arm announced a partnership with Crypto.com to launch prediction markets on Truth Social, his son Donald Jr. is an investor in Polymarket and adviser to rival Kalshi, and the White House has defended the president’s lack of direct involvement while emphasizing ethical standards; meanwhile, Trump downplayed federal charges against a U.S. special‑forces soldier accused of profiting from insider information on Polymarket, likening the case to Pete Rose’s betting scandal, and his administration has taken steps to support online betting—such as ending a Biden‑era effort to curb Polymarket and defending the CFTC’s exclusive regulatory authority against state challenges—reflecting a long‑standing family connection to gambling that dates back to Trump’s Atlantic‑City casinos and his past advocacy for online gaming legislation. Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-embraced-gambling-industry-decades-now-hedging-bet-prediction-ma-rcna341871 #DonaldTrump #TruthSocial #Polymarket #CFTC #PeteRose #DonaldTrumpJr. AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.

A U.S. Army soldier has been charged with using classified information about the timing of the capture of then-Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to make more than $400,000 trading on Polymarket's prediction market. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/04/24/world/crime-legal/us-soldier-polymarket-classified-data/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #crimelegal #polymarket #us #venezuela #nicolasmaduro

Prediction markets in the news are a dangerous gamble, argues @nilay_patel in his latest podcast. "Why platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket want so badly to be seen as sources of news, instead of anything-goes casinos." https://flip.it/WNaOCt #Prediction #Kalshi #Polymarket #Tech #Technology

People have spent millions gambling on politics and geopolitics via sites like Kalshi and Polymarket — so they're essentially profiting from death and war. @jasonkoebler@mastodon.social calls this the "depravity economy." Here's his story for @404mediaco@mastodon.social. https://flip.it/.y8Pv6 #Iran #Kalshi #Polymarket #Betting

Punto Informatico: Guerra in Iran e insider trading: l’ombra su Polymarket Oltre mezzo miliardo di dollari puntati sull'attacco all'Iran con Polymarket: luci e ombre della piattaforma per scommettere su tutto. The post Guerra in Iran e insider trading: l’ombra su Polymarket appeared first on Punto Informatico. War in Iran and insider trading: the shadow over Polymarket Over half a billion dollars bet on an attack against Iran with Polymarket: the pros and cons of the platform for betting on everything. The post Iran War and insider trading: the shadow of Polymarket appeared on Punto Informatico. #Polymarket #IranWar #PuntoInformatico